Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 3 - Seria 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadionul Ion Comsa (Calarasi)


	Dunărea Călărași		Clinceni

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.6	4.74
	1.6	4.3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	4.45 ↑ (4.3)	4.35 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunărea Călărași
58.3%

Draw
20.6%

Clinceni
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

20.9%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

17.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunărea Călărași has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Clinceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunărea Călărași than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunărea Călărași that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clinceni than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Clinceni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Clinceni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dunărea Călărași is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dunărea Călărași won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunărea Călărași won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dunărea Călărași
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 3
11.05.24	Afumaţi - Dunărea Călărași	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Clinceni - Dunărea Călărași	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Dunărea Călărași - Afumaţi	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Dunărea Călărași - Clinceni	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Afumaţi - Dunărea Călărași	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLWL
- LPS HD Clinceni
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 3
11.05.24	Clinceni - Agricola Borcea	1:2 ✺
08.05.24	Afumaţi - Clinceni	5:1 ✺
03.05.24	Clinceni - Dunărea Călărași	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Clinceni - Afumaţi	3:3 ✺
12.04.24	Dunărea Călărași - Clinceni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 3
03.05.24	Clinceni - Dunărea Călărași	1:1
12.04.24	Dunărea Călărași - Clinceni	2:0
28.10.23	Clinceni - Dunărea Călărași	1:4

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