Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 7

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		America RJ

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.79	3.25	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.64)	3.13 ↑ (2.94)	2.41 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
33.3%

Draw
29%

America RJ
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

31.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

America RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Duque de Caxias - America RJ Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. America RJ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Nenem ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Matheus Iacovelli ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.06.25	Audax Rio - Duque de Caxias	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Duque de Caxias - São Gonçalo	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	3:2 ✺
24.05.25	Bangu - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
21.05.25	Resende - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWL
- America RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.06.25	America RJ - Olaria	0:0 ✺
04.06.25	Bangu - America RJ	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	America RJ - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Resende - America RJ	1:1 ✺
20.05.25	Pérolas Negras - America RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.06.24	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:0
07.08.21	America RJ - Duque de Caxias	1:0

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