Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Duque de Caxias		Olaria

	1	X	2
	4.80	3.30	1.63
	4.95	3.35	1.62
	14.03	6.53	1.16	Watch
	5	3.25	1.65
	5.24	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↑ (3.05)	3.99 ↑ (3.01)	1.53 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
14%

Draw
23.9%

Olaria
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

30%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duque de Caxias's form might have worsened.

Olaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olaria's recent form is better than expected.

Duque de Caxias - Olaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Beto ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Olaria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Duque de Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Olaria might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duque de Caxias won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
22.11.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Carapebus Campos - Duque de Caxias	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Niteroiense - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTT
- Olaria AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.06.26	Olaria - America RJ	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	São Gonçalo - Olaria	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Olaria - Resende	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Maricá - Olaria	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Olaria - Pérolas Negras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
31.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	3:2
11.08.24	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	1:0
03.08.24	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	0:0
01.06.24	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	0:1
14.10.20	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	1:3

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