Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 8

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Resende

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4
	1.88	2.94	4.4
	1.89	2.98	4.47	Watch
	1.91	2.95	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.64)	2.97 ↓ (3.5)	4.29 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
48.2%

Draw
30.6%

Resende
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23.9%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duque de Caxias's form might have worsened.

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duque de Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Duque de Caxias - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
29.06.24	Petrópolis - Duque de Caxias	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Duque de Caxias - Araruama	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWTW
- Resende FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
30.06.24	Resende - America RJ	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Araruama - Resende	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Resende - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Artsul - Resende	2:2 ✺
02.06.24	Resende - Cabofriense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
19.02.14	Resende - Duque de Caxias	1:3

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