Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca 2 - Round 7

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Petrópolis		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.21	3.01	3.31
	2.19	3.03	3.33
	2.2	2.95	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (3.38)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	3.26 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
41.4%

Draw
30.7%

Duque de Caxias
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.3%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

28.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petrópolis's performance.

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duque de Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petrópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duque de Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Petrópolis - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Nathan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
23.06.24	Petrópolis - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Olaria - Petrópolis	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Maricá - Petrópolis	4:1 ✺
25.05.24	Petrópolis - Resende	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	America RJ - Petrópolis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
22.06.24	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
08.06.24	Duque de Caxias - Araruama	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
25.05.24	Duque de Caxias - Serrano FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
16.06.21	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	2:2
26.09.20	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	0:1

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