Match Info

Date: 14 April 2022, Thursday


	Durango		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	2.95	3.05	2.06
	3.65	2.85	1.99
	4.03	2.73	2.01
	3.48	3.22	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.17)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durango
26.1%

Draw
30%

Alavés B
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Durango - Alavés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Durango is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alavés B in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alavés B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Durango won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Durango won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.04.22	Beasain - Durango	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Durango - Santutxu	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Deusto - Durango	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Durango - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Vitoria - Durango	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWTTW
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.04.22	Alavés B - Basconia	4:2 ✺
03.04.22	Beti Gazte - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Alavés B - Portugalete	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
13.03.22	Barakaldo - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.12.21	Alavés B - Durango	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.12.17	Durango - Alavés B	1:2

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