Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Beasain		Durango

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.64	3.6	4.7
	1.62	3.76	4.86	Watch
	1.64	3.7	4.62
	1.64	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	4.78 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
56%

Draw
25%

Durango
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beasain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Beasain - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Bengoetxea A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.25	Beasain - Urduliz	4:1 ✺
20.12.24	Lagun Onak - Beasain	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Beasain - Alavés C	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Derio - Beasain	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Beasain - Santurtzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWWW
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.25	Pasaia - Durango	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Durango - San Ignacio	3:1 ✺
15.12.24	Basconia - Durango	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Durango - Leioa	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Aretxabaleta - Durango	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.01.24	Beasain - Durango	4:1
09.04.22	Beasain - Durango	1:1
04.12.21	Durango - Beasain	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
23.09.17	Durango - Beasain	2:1

Beasain - Durango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide