Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Deusto		Durango

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.35
	2.2	2.83	3.44
	2.21	2.94	3.4
	2.25	2.7	3.4
	2.21	2.88	3.32
	2.2	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 (2.2)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	3.34 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deusto
41.3%

Draw
31.6%

Durango
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deusto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durango than the current prediction. (+1%)

Deusto - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 🟥,
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2.

Deusto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Durango has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deusto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deusto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deusto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Deusto
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Aretxabaleta - Deusto	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Deusto - Zamudio	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Santurtzi - Deusto	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Deusto - Real Sociedad C	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Pasaia - Deusto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWTLW
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.11.25	Durango - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Ignacio - Durango	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Durango - Derio	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Touring KE - Durango	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Durango	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
08.03.25	Deusto - Durango	0:0
26.10.24	Durango - Deusto	1:2
10.03.24	Durango - Deusto	1:1
21.10.23	Deusto - Durango	3:1
25.03.23	Deusto - Durango	1:2
26.11.22	Durango - Deusto	4:0
26.03.22	Deusto - Durango	1:1

Deusto - Durango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide