Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 27

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Durban City		Pretoria Callies

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.53	3.55	6
	1.54	3.66	6.81
	1.53	3.52	6.66	Watch
	1.48	3.44	7.5
	1.53	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 (1.52)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	6.45 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durban City
60%

Draw
25.8%

Pretoria Callies
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durban City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Pretoria Callies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pretoria Callies than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Durban City - Pretoria Callies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Kamatuka J. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Maseko S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Durban City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pretoria Callies is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Durban City is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Durban City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Durban City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durban City
South African First Division
12.04.25	Highbury - Durban City	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	University of Pretoria - Durban City	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Durban City - Upington City	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Leruma United - Durban City	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Durban City - Orbit College	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWTT
- Pretoria Callies
South African First Division
22.04.25	Cape Town Spurs - Pretoria Callies	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Pretoria Callies - Leruma United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Orbit College - Pretoria Callies	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Pretoria Callies - Venda	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Highbury - Pretoria Callies	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
06.10.24	Pretoria Callies - Durban City	0:0
07.04.24	Pretoria Callies - Durban City	0:2
25.11.23	Durban City - Pretoria Callies	1:3

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