Match Info

Nedbank Cup - Final

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
South-africa	SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4


	Durban City		TS Galaxy

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.98	3.05
	2.38	2.81	3.04
	1.13	6.07	25.00	Watch
	2.4	2.92	3.23
	2.3	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.3)	3.53 ↑ (2.85)	7.45 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durban City
53.1%

Draw
31.8%

TS Galaxy
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

31.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durban City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Durban City's performance.

TS Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TS Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Durban City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TS Galaxy than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TS Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Durban City - TS Galaxy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keet D. (G) 4. Gcaba F. 5. Ncanana S. (C) 30. Mkhize M. 23. Mashego T. 17. Jurgens K. 18. Poggenpoel B. 7. Domingo H. 10. Maseko S. 15. Mokwena B. 20. Lwamba J.	16. Tape E. I. (G) 24. Kakora T. 5. Igor Salatiel 35. Mncwango M. 3. Letsoenyo S. 8. Mbunjana M. (C) 10. Maduna S. 9. Zindoga J. 2. Mvelase M. 27. Mahlambi S. 17. Letsoalo V.
Substitutes
33. Asare F. (G) 22. De Kock L. 2. Jalai E. 19. Koapeng L. 37. Maarman R. 11. Magawana S. 9. Mahlangu S. 26. Nodada T. 35. Sifumba L.	23. Fisher Norman P. 4. Kamogelo Mahlangu M. 1. Maseti S. G. (G) 12. Mgaga N. 22. Motaung L. 30. Ngwenya S. 26. Nkosi N. 42. Xulu S. 45. Zulu V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Lwamba J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Domingo H. ↓, Sifumba L. ↑,
51', Mncwango M. ↓, Kamogelo Mahlangu M. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Mkhize M. ⚽,
64', Mvelase M. ↓, Mgaga N. ↑,
66', Mokwena B. ↓, Nodada T. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Lwamba J. ⚽, Sifumba L. (A),
80', Gcaba F. ↓, Jalai E. ↑,
86', Maduna S. ↓, Ngwenya S. ↑,
90+2', Lwamba J. ↓, Koapeng L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durban City won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Durban City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, TS Galaxy has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Durban City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Durban City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

TS Galaxy - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durban City
South African Premier Soccer League
24.04.26	Durban City - Orbit College	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Magesi - Durban City	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Durban City	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Durban City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
04.04.26	Durban City - Casric Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW
- TS Galaxy
South African Premier Soccer League
26.04.26	TS Galaxy - Magesi	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	TS Galaxy - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kaizer Chiefs - TS Galaxy	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	TS Galaxy - Polokwane City	1:2 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
05.04.26	TS Galaxy - Milford	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
13.02.26	Durban City - TS Galaxy	2:0
10.08.25	TS Galaxy - Durban City	0:2
South African Nedbank Cup
14.02.25	Durban City - TS Galaxy	2:1 ET
South African Premier Soccer League
02.04.23	TS Galaxy - Durban City	1:2
30.12.22	Durban City - TS Galaxy	1:2
23.04.22	TS Galaxy - Durban City	1:1
23.10.21	Durban City - TS Galaxy	1:0

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