Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION B - GROUP 4 - ROUND 16

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Dynamo Barnaul		Torpedo Miass

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.3	1.44
	5.6	4.3	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (5.63)	4.3 ↓ (4.32)	1.44 (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Barnaul
16%

Draw
21.1%

Torpedo Miass
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

21%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

20.3%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Barnaul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Torpedo Miass have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Barnaul than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Dynamo Barnaul is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Torpedo Miass is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Barnaul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Torpedo Miass is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dynamo Barnaul won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Barnaul won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Barnaul
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
22.10.23	Nosta Novotroitsk - Dynamo Barnaul	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Dynamo Barnaul - Ural 2	1:3 ✺
24.09.23	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Dynamo Barnaul	0:2 ✺
17.09.23	Dynamo Barnaul - Khimik Avgust Vurnari	1:4 ✺
Russian Cup
13.09.23	Dynamo Vladivostok - Dynamo Barnaul	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
22.10.23	Orenburg-2 - Torpedo Miass	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Torpedo Miass - Nosta Novotroitsk	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Ural 2 - Torpedo Miass	3:2 ✺
17.09.23	Torpedo Miass - Akron Tolyatti 2	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Barnaul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
03.09.23	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Barnaul	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
01.11.22	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Barnaul	3:2
10.04.22	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Barnaul	2:1
14.09.21	Dynamo Barnaul - Torpedo Miass	0:0

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