Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION B - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Ural 2		Torpedo Miass

	1	X	2
	5.1	4.05	1.52	Watch
	5.4	3.65	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.53)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural 2
17.3%

Draw
23.6%

Torpedo Miass
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

23.5%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Torpedo Miass has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Ural 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torpedo Miass is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ural 2 have a series of guest games.

Recently Torpedo Miass have a series of home games.

In this match Torpedo Miass is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ural 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.09.23	Nosta Novotroitsk - Ural 2	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Orenburg-2 - Ural 2	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Ural 2	2:3 ✺
06.08.23	Ural 2 - Dynamo Barnaul	2:3 ✺
29.07.23	Torpedo Miass - Ural 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLL
- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.09.23	Torpedo Miass - Akron Tolyatti 2	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Torpedo Miass - Dynamo Barnaul	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Torpedo Miass - Orenburg-2	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.08.23	Torpedo Miass - Amkar Perm	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
19.08.23	Nosta Novotroitsk - Torpedo Miass	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
29.07.23	Torpedo Miass - Ural 2	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
23.04.23	Torpedo Miass - Ural 2	0:1
31.07.22	Ural 2 - Torpedo Miass	1:2
14.11.21	Ural 2 - Torpedo Miass	2:0
26.09.21	Torpedo Miass - Ural 2	2:1

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