Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho (Kyiv)

Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Dynamo Kyiv		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.15	5.15
	1.63	4.12	4.77
	1.87	3.46	4.05	Watch
	1.66	4.35	4.94	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.3)	3.96 ↓ (4.6)	4.67 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
56.3%

Draw
23.7%

Kharkiv
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.4%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.1%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kharkiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kharkiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dynamo Kyiv - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dynamo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kharkiv (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Dynamo (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Dynamo (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Dynamo (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dynamo Kyiv will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Kharkiv (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Neshcheret R. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 40. Bilovar K. 66. Thiare A. 2. Vivcharenko K. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 10. Shaparenko M. 9. Voloshyn N. 39. Guerrero E. 16. Ogundana S.	30. Varakuta D. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 15. Antyukh D. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 25. Lytvynenko I. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.
Substitutes
77. Blanuta V. 6. Brazhko V. 14. Burtnyk V. 44. Dubinchak V. 22. Kabaev V. 51. Morgun V. (G) 32. Mykhavko T. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 18. Tymchyk O. 5. Yatsyk O. 34. Zakharchenko V.	11. Churko V. 2. Kapinus D. 73. Karpizin Y. 47. Khrunyk I. 17. Kogut I. 44. Kondratiuk D. 88. Korol A. 80. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 12. Solovey M. (G)
Coaches
Shovkovsky O.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Bilovar K. ↓, Zakharchenko V. ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Voloshyn N. ⚽, Karavaev O. (A),
41', Ogundana S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Lytvynenko I. ⚽, Itodo P. (A),
60', Ogundana S. ↓, Kabaev V. ↑,
60', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
75', Martynyuk O. ↓, Kapinus D. ↑,
75', Itodo P. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
75', Shaparenko M. ↓, Brazhko V. ↑,
75', Guerrero E. ↓, Blanuta V. ↑,
83', Rashica E. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
84', Zakharchenko V. 🟨,
90+2', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Churko V. ↑,
90+2', Antyukh D. ↓, Salyuk V. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).

In recent matches, Dynamo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalist 1925 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metalist 1925 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dynamo is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	3:3 ✺
22.09.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Oleksandriya	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Oleksandriya - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
13.09.25	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTWT
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
28.09.25	Kharkiv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Kolos Polonne - Kharkiv	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
21.09.25	Poltava - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
25.02.24	Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	2:4
07.12.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Kharkiv	4:2
04.06.23	Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1
26.11.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Kharkiv	0:0
11.09.21	Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2

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