Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Shandor O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Kharkiv		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.62
	5.3	3.55	1.6
	5.48	3.84	1.65
	5.66	4.08	1.61	Watch
	5.2	3.8	1.61
	5	3.79	1.65	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↑ (4.89)	3.77 ↓ (3.86)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
17.6%

Draw
24.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.6%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.8%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yermakov G. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 14. Gadzhyev R. 5. Kalyuzhnyi I. (C) 8. Yatsyk O. 29. Smolyakov A. 10. Paraco C. 98. Itodo P.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matvienko M. (C) 13. Pedro Henrique 29. Nazaryna Y. 30. Alisson 27. Ocheretko O. 14. Isaque Silva 11. Newerton 9. Kaua Elias
Substitutes
9. Antyukh D. 11. Castillo S. 77. Cauan Baptistella 37. Dubko V. 25. Kogut I. 88. Korol A. 85. Plichko O. 6. Profini R. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 19. Rashica E. 30. Varakuta D. (G) 7. Zabergja B.	16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 18. Ghram A. 20. Karavaev O. 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 77. Mendoza G. 68. Obah P. 71. Ryan Roberto 45. Smetana D. 24. Tsukanov V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Newerton ⚽, Isaque Silva (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Smolyakov A. 🟨,
61', Matvienko M. 🟨,
65', Isaque Silva ↓, Mendoza G. ↑,
70', Martynyuk O. ↓, Rashica E. ↑,
71', Alisson ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
71', Kaua Elias ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
80', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Zabergja B. ↑,
80', Itodo P. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
81', Pedro Henrique ↓, Azarovi I. ↑,
81', Newerton ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
85', Kalyuzhnyi I. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
85', Paraco C. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kharkiv won 0.

Recent form of Kharkiv has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shakhtar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kharkiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kharkiv has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shakhtar is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kharkiv won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kharkiv won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15:4	11	18
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Kharkiv - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Kharkiv - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Kharkiv - Hradec Králové	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLT
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kudrivka	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Bursaspor - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Al-Ula	0:0 ✺
23.07.26	Gorica - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
15.03.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	1:0
13.09.25	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1
03.12.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	2:0
29.07.23	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2
05.03.23	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:7
23.08.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	0:0
13.08.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	2:0

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