Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Zirka Stadium (Kropyvnytsky)

Referee: Kogut O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Poltava		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.55	1.78
	4.21	3.77	1.86
	6.63	3.91	1.51	Watch
	4.31	3.8	1.86	Watch
	3.29	3.16	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.59)	3.64 ↑ (3.28)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
20.8%

Draw
25.9%

Kharkiv
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kharkiv's recent form is better than expected.

Poltava - Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Yermolov D. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. (C) 12. Savenkov A. 3. Khodulya I. 2. Kononov M. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 11. Onishchenko A. 99. Khakhlyov O. 7. Galenkov D. 88. Vivdych O.	30. Varakuta D. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 25. Lytvynenko I. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 7. Ari Moura 98. Itodo P. 19. Rashica E.
Substitutes
17. Komarnytskyi K. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 1. Minchev M. (G) 44. Plakhtyr D. 16. Shevchenko Y. 10. Streltsov Y. 52. Zinyar G.	15. Antyukh D. 11. Churko V. 2. Kapinus D. 73. Karpizin Y. 17. Kogut I. 44. Kondratiuk D. 88. Korol A. 80. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 12. Solovey M. (G)
Coaches
Matviychenko P.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Khakhlyov O. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Pavlyuk Y. ⚽, Kalitvintsev V. (A),
39', Vivdych O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Savenkov A. 🟨,
56', Onishchenko A. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,
56', Kalitvintsev V. 🟨,
62', Itodo P. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
62', Ari Moura ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,
66', Kononov M. ↓, Kotsyumaka I. ↑,
66', Khodulya I. ↓, Plakhtyr D. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Lytvynenko I. ⚽, Antyukh D. (A),
77', Martynyuk O. ↓, Kapinus D. ↑,
77', Kalitvintsev V. ↓, Churko V. ↑,
89', Kotsyumaka I. 🟥,
90', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

Poltava is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalist 1925 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metalist 1925 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metalist 1925 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Poltava	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Poltava	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Poltava - Zorya Luhansk	1:4 ✺
17.08.25	Kudrivka - Poltava	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Poltava - Veres Rivne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLLW
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
13.09.25	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.25	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Kryvbas - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.11.24	Poltava - Kharkiv	0:1
27.09.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	5:3 ET

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