Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sportstadion Wörgl (Wörgl)


	Dynamo Kyiv		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.4
				Watch
	1.93	3.27	3.53
	1.96	3.43	3.49	Watch
	2.05	3.56	3.53	Watch
	2.01	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.65)	3.39 ↓ (4)	3.48 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Kyiv
46.6%

Draw
27.1%

Mamelodi Sundowns
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mamelodi Sundowns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Dynamo Kyiv - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Kyiv will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Neshcheret R. (G) 18. Andriyevski O. 40. Bilovar K. 30. Diallo S. 44. Dubinchak V. 3. Dyachuk M. 17. Lonwijk J. 10. Shaparenko M. 21. Supryaga V. 9. Voloshyn N. 7. Yarmolenko A.	36. February J. (G) 11. Allende M. 20. Kekana G. 5. Lebusa M. 22. Mabena S. 33. Maseko T. 14. Mashego T. 17. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 25. Mudau K. 18. Zwane T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Bilovar K. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Diallo S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
72', 🟨,

Preview

Dynamo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mamelodi Sundowns is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dynamo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dynamo to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Club Friendly
14.07.24	Brøndby - Dynamo Kyiv	0:4 ✺
13.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
10.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.05.24	Rukh Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Kryvbas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWW
- Mamelodi Sundowns
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Sandhausen - Mamelodi Sundowns	2:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
01.06.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates	1:2 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
25.05.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
21.05.24	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW

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