The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mamelodi Sundowns 45.7%
Draw 32.3%
Orlando Pirates 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
30.8%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
32.4%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamelodi Sundowns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 20. Kekana G. 15. Aubaas B. J. 24. Cupido K. 25. Mudau K. 11. Allende M. 6. Modiba A. 17. Matthews T. 10. Santos N. 38. Shalulile P. 9. Arthur Sales
24. Chaine S. (G) 37. Lebitso T. 33. Seema L. 44. Mbokazi M. (C) 7. Hotto D. 30. Nduli S. 15. Nemtajela M. 12. Appollis O. 46. Dansin C. 11. Moremi T. 17. Makgopa E.
Substitutes
8. Adams J. 23. Basadien F. 5. Lebusa M. 33. Maseko T. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 21. Mkhulise S. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 13. Rayners I.
35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 29. Kwayiba S. 28. Maswanganyi P. 16. Mbatha T. 23. Mbule S. 9. Mbuthuma Y. 3. Ndaba N. 5. Sibisi N. 21. van Rooyen D.
Coaches
Cardoso M.
Ouaddou A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Modiba A. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Shalulile P. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Dansin C. ⚽,
39', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Arthur Sales ↓, Adams J. ↑,
60', Makgopa E. ↓, Mbuthuma Y. ↑,
60', Dansin C. ↓, Maswanganyi P. ↑,
65', Cupido K. 🟨,
67', Nemtajela M. 🟨,
78', Shalulile P. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
78', Modiba A. ↓, Basadien F. ↑,
79', Aubaas B. J. ↓, Mkhulise S. ↑,
82', Allende M. 🟨,
84', Matthews T. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
88', Mudau K. 🟨,
88', Appollis O. ↓, Kwayiba S. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1.
Mamelodi Sundowns has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Orlando Pirates is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of home games.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.4%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.