Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 13

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Düren		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.4	2.1
	3	3.6	2.15
	3.13	3.55	2.11
	3.02	3.58	2.09
	2.95	3.58	2.08
	3	3.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.47)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	2.11 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Düren
30.7%

Draw
25.9%

Sportfreunde Lotte
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

24.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.7%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportfreunde Lotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Düren than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Düren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportfreunde Lotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Düren - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Elezi F. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Matuschyk A. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Geimer V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Recent matches Düren is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SF Lotte in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

SF Lotte will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
19.10.24	Duisburg - Düren	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Düren - Wuppertal	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Düren	5:0 ✺
29.09.24	Düren - Köln II	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Düren - Uerdingen	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
19.10.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Rödinghausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
27.09.24	Wiedenbrück - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWT

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