Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.9	1.92
	3.08	4.19	1.93
	3.1	4.32	1.88
	3.2	3.7	1.85
	3.18	3.96	1.87
	3.75	3.7	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.86)	3.96 ↑ (3.71)	1.87 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
28.1%

Draw
23.1%

Fortuna Köln
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

24.6%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Stublla S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Ritter M. ⚽,
53', 2 - 2, Galjen D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Fortuna Köln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for 3. Liga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Fortuna Köln is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, SF Lotte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lotte	11	0	3	8	7:22	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
09.05.26	Bonner - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Gütersloh - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLL
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
09.05.26	Fortuna Köln - Siegen	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Köln	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Wiedenbrück	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fortuna Köln - Schalke 04 II	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
29.11.25	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0
08.03.25	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
21.09.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:1
14.05.22	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
15.02.22	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:2
27.02.21	Fortuna Köln - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:2
03.10.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Köln	1:0

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