Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 27

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Telsiai Central Stadium (Telsiai)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Džiugas Telšiai		Sūduva Marijampolė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.50	3.10	1.88
	3.32	3.42	2.13
	3.35	3.39	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.09
	3.29	3.25	2.04	Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.91)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Džiugas Telšiai
27.6%

Draw
28%

Sūduva Marijampolė
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (G) 4. Sane B. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 44. Asomugha B. 2. Vermeulen V. 6. Pavlovskij N. 10. Piliukaitis V. 46. Wawszczyk J. 14. Zevzikovas D. 7. Pedro Bahia 8. Bunchukov D.	31. Plukas I. (G) 75. Stockunas E. 23. Grigalava R. 5. Baltrunas Z. 4. Uzochukwu H. 14. Steponavicius F. 8. Lawson S. (C) 6. Sabo A. 7. Seck I. 94. Sanokho S. M. 19. Tangiri F.
Substitutes
77. Andrezinho 97. Balasanov A. 70. Ouattara A. 5. Rutkovskis M. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 90. Sobowale R. 48. Stelmokas T. 27. Vinckus D.	26. Antanavicius D. 11. Chajia M. 10. Haydary O. 9. Lucky T. 13. Mikulenas M. 18. Milasius T. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 16. Tsykalo Y. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G) 15. Zivanovic A.
Coaches
Lipskis A.	Vencevicius D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Piliukaitis V. 🟨,
21', Bunchukov D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 1, Grigalava R. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Lucky T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 1.

Džiugas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sūduva is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Džiugas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sūduva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.08.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	3:4 ✺
03.08.26	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWT
- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
09.08.26	Banga Gargždai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
20.07.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	5:1 ✺
06.07.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	0:0 ✺
29.06.26	Panevėžys - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
21.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2
19.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	3:2
18.10.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0
27.07.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	2:3
25.05.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1
28.03.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	1:0
14.09.24	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1

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