Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 23

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Telsiai Central Stadium (Telsiai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	BTV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Džiugas Telšiai		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.48	2.95	2.55
	2.88	3.15	2.60
	2.67	3.19	2.62	Watch
	2.85	3.10	2.45
	2.59	3.02	2.53	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.52)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	2.54 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Džiugas Telšiai
34.3%

Draw
29.7%

Banga Gargždai
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Džiugas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (G) 2. Vermeulen V. 4. Sane B. 23. Cisse I. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 46. Wawszczyk J. 7. Pedro Bahia 8. Bunchukov D. 6. Pavlovskij N. 27. Vinckus D. 90. Sobowale R.	14. Krynskyi V. (G) 19. Antuzis V. (C) 6. Simao J. 3. Malzinskas D. 27. Henning R. 21. Praleika S. 45. Sato M. 10. Magdusauskas V. 11. Filipavicius R. 77. Venckus I. 99. Olugbogi A.
Substitutes
44. Asomugha B. 97. Balasanov A. 70. Ouattara A. 10. Piliukaitis V. 5. Rutkovskis M. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 48. Stelmokas T. 14. Zevzikovas D.	22. Ambrazaitis M. 17. Andrejev M. 51. Cadu 30. Cande U. 47. Fosuhene Asare K. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 20. Levsinas A. 24. Lukas D. 7. Norvilas D. 44. Vaicekauskas D. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G) 13. Zebrauskas N.
Coaches
Lipskis A.	Marques Afonso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Vermeulen V. 🟨,
30', Cisse I. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Cisse I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Ankudinovas L. 🟨,
56', Antuzis V. 🟨,
57', Vinckus D. 🟨,
67', Pedro Bahia ↓, Zevzikovas D. ↑,
67', Sato M. ↓, Cande U. ↑,
67', Antuzis V. ↓, Zebrauskas N. ↑,
74', Venckus I. ↓, Andrejev M. ↑,
74', Bunchukov D. ↓, Piliukaitis V. ↑,
74', Vinckus D. ↓, Scotto I. E. ↑,
87', Sobowale R. ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
87', Filipavicius R. ↓, Vaicekauskas D. ↑,
87', Henning R. ↓, Cadu ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 3.

Džiugas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Banga is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Banga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Banga	28	11	8	9	32:28	4	41
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38

Last Results with these Odds

Džiugas Telšiai - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.07.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
21.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLLT
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
12.07.26	Transinvest - Banga Gargždai	1:3 ✺
28.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Banga Gargždai - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
17.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 penalties
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:1
15.03.26	Banga Gargždai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
26.09.25	Banga Gargždai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
13.07.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:0
19.06.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:1
16.04.25	Banga Gargždai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1

Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide