Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 10Date: 16 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)
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 |
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EC Noroeste |
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Atlético Monte Azul |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.68 |
3.9 |
 Watch |
 |
2.09 |
2.67 |
3.98 |
|
 |
2.28 |
2.83 |
3.39 |
Watch |
 |
2.06 |
2.82 |
3.87 |
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2 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.99) |
2.78 ↓
(2.84) |
3.76 ↓
(4.03) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
EC Noroeste
43.3% | Draw
32.6% | Atlético Monte Azul
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-2.7%)EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Noroeste (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noroeste (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 1, Rian Felipe ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 🟥,
- 89', 🟥,
Preview
Monte Azul is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)In recent matches, Noroeste has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Monte Azul is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Monte Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Noroeste might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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