Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GAUCHO 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday


	EC Pelotas		Santa Cruz-RS

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.6
	2.26	2.72	3.39
	1.95	2.75	3.9
	2.17	2.94	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.07)	2.82 ↓ (3)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Pelotas
42.8%

Draw
32.1%

Santa Cruz-RS
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Santa Cruz-RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz-RS than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

EC Pelotas - Santa Cruz RS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Pelotas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz-RS is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pelotas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
09.07.23	Inter Santa Maria - EC Pelotas	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	GE Bagé - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
25.06.23	EC Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	EC Pelotas - Lajeadense	1:3 ✺
04.06.23	EC Guarani - EC Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLW
- Santa Cruz-RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
08.07.23	Santa Cruz-RS - GE Bagé	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	São Gabriel - Santa Cruz-RS	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Santa Cruz-RS - EC Guarani	4:0 ✺
11.06.23	Santa Cruz-RS - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Lajeadense - Santa Cruz-RS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
16.04.23	Santa Cruz-RS - EC Pelotas	1:1
01.06.22	Santa Cruz-RS - EC Pelotas	2:1
24.04.22	EC Pelotas - Santa Cruz-RS	0:0

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