Match Info

Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	EC Primavera		Taubaté

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.8
	1.62	3.3	5.6	Watch
	1.64	3.32	5.64	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.75
	1.62	3.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)	3.28 ↑ (3.22)	5.28 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Primavera
54.6%

Draw
28%

Taubaté
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Primavera's performance.

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taubaté might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Primavera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taubaté could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EC Primavera - Taubaté Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Luan Martins ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Lucas Douglas ⚽,
32', Lucas Douglas 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Afonso (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Primavera is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Taubaté is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Primavera is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Primavera won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Primavera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Primavera
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.03.25	Taubaté - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	EC Primavera - Santo André	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Santo André - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	CA Juventus - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTTT
- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.03.25	Taubaté - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Taubaté - São José-SP	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	São José-SP - Taubaté	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Piracicaba - Taubaté	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Taubaté - CA Juventus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
23.03.25	Taubaté - EC Primavera	0:2
15.02.25	EC Primavera - Taubaté	2:1
31.01.24	Taubaté - EC Primavera	1:0
11.03.23	EC Primavera - Taubaté	1:1
05.03.22	Taubaté - EC Primavera	2:2

EC Primavera - Taubaté: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide