Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 15

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)


	Piracicaba		Taubaté

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.6
	2.01	3.1	3.55
	2.04	3	3.86
	2.04	3.01	3.76	Watch
	2.04	3.02	3.84
	2.01	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.98)	3.07 ↓ (3.17)	3.69 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
45.4%

Draw
29.8%

Taubaté
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

30.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Piracicaba - Taubaté Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Guthierres ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Lucas Venuto ⚽,
66', 0 - 3, Guthierres ⚽,
81', Salatiel 🟥,
84', Burro 🟥,
88', 1 - 3, Matheus Carvalho ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Piracicaba is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Piracicaba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Taubaté is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Piracicaba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	São José-SP - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Piracicaba - Ituano	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Votuporanguense - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLL
- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.03.25	Taubaté - CA Juventus	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Ituano - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Grêmio Prudente - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Taubaté - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	EC Primavera - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
17.01.24	Taubaté - Piracicaba	1:1
18.01.23	Piracicaba - Taubaté	1:1
12.03.22	Taubaté - Piracicaba	0:0
28.04.21	Piracicaba - Taubaté	0:1
14.03.20	Taubaté - Piracicaba	1:0

Piracicaba - Taubaté: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide