Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	EC Primavera		União São João

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.15	4.27
	1.84	3.51	3.86	Watch
	1.84	3.68	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	4.06 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

EC Primavera
50.6%

Draw
27%

União São João
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Primavera's performance.

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

EC Primavera - União São João Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Primavera will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). União São João will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Primavera (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Primavera (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): União São João will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Primavera (votes: 2 - 40%). União São João (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Afonso 9. Brunao 2. Cleiton 7. Jean Silva 11. Josiel 5. Junior Caicara (C) 1. Levy 4. Luan Martins 10. Matheus Anjos 8. Renatinho 6. Victor J.	1. Matheus Pellegrini (G) 3. Bruno Miguel (C) 10. Chileno 19. Da Ora 6. Franco L. 7. Kaique 8. Leo Machado 4. Lucas Mufalo 2. Peixoto R. 9. Rafael Tanque 5. Ruan Marcos
Substitutes
22. Ariel 14. Barreto 17. Braga Vitor 18. Cesinha 13. Gabriel Silva 19. Henan 23. Kauan 21. Luz R. 20. Miguel 16. Mineiro K. 15. Nelsinho 12. Vinicius	17. Alan Francisco 15. Borges V. 13. Codo F. 23. Emerson Crepaldi 18. Igor Silva 11. Luan 16. Mauricio 21. Neco E. . Paulinho 22. Rogerio L. 12. Tales L. (G) 14. Tallys

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Afonso ⚽,
22', Bruno Miguel 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Brunao (Pen),
28', 3 - 0, Brunao ⚽,
39', Matheus Anjos 🟨,
45', Leo Machado 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kaique Clemente ↓, Emerson Crepaldi ↑,
46', Rafael Tanque ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
46', Chileno ↓, Alan Francisco ↑,
46', Matheus Anjos ↓, Nelsinho ↑,
64', Renatinho ↓, Cesar ↑,
64', Da Ora ↓, Luan ↑,
70', Victor J. ↓, Luis Fernando ↑,
70', Josiel ↓, Miguel ↑,
74', Peixoto R. 🟨,
78', Brunao ↓, Henan ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Nelsinho ⚽,
81', Leo Machado 🟨,
88', Emerson Crepaldi 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Primavera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Primavera
Brazilian Copa Paulista
31.08.25	EC Primavera - Paulista	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paulista - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	São Bento - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	EC Primavera - Paulista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLW
- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.08.25	União São João - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	EC Noroeste - União São João	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	União São João - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Francana - União São João	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Internacional de Limeira - União São João	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTT

EC Primavera - União São João: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide