Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 10Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
União São João |
|
Comercial SP |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.25 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.98 |
2.98 |
3.75 |
|
 |
2 |
2.91 |
3.79 |
|
 |
1.90 |
3.06 |
4.29 |
 Watch |
 |
2 |
3.04 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.93) |
3.06 ↓
(3.2) |
3.79 ↑
(3.64) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
União São João
46.3% | Draw
29.7% | Comercial SP
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-0.1%)União São João - Comercial SP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Rafael Tanque (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
União São João is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals) Comercial SP is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)União São João is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).In recent matches, Comercial SP has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, União São João has had a series of away games. União São João will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União São João won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
