The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EC São Bernardo U20 14.7%
Draw 23.1%
São Paulo U20 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
24.3%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.7%
23.9%
56.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São Bernardo U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC São Bernardo U20's form might have worsened.
São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São Bernardo U20 than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
EC São Bernardo U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).
EC São Bernardo U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
São Paulo U20 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
EC São Bernardo U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, São Paulo U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, São Paulo U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, EC São Bernardo U20 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for EC São Bernardo U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
São Paulo U20 - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 55.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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