Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 11

Date: 25 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stade du 7 Novembre (Gafsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	EGS Gafsa		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	8.25	3.8	1.37
	10	4.1	1.31
	9.74	4.01	1.39
	10.39	4.02	1.39	Watch
	10	3.8	1.36
	9.1	3.94	1.36	Watch
	10	4.1	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.64 ↓ (10.45)	3.97 ↓ (4.16)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EGS Gafsa
9.5%

Draw
23.1%

Espérance ST
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.8%

22.1%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST Predictions

Users Predictions: Espérance ST will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeridi R. (G) 21. Barbati A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 9. Ben Hassine F. 27. Chaabani B. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 7. Jouini A. 11. Mbarek H. 20. Mhamedi H. 25. Traore A.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 23. Azouni L. 2. Ben Ali M. 20. Ben Hamida M. 4. Derbali M. 6. Jelassi H. 28. Kada Z. 21. Konate A. 24. Mokwana E. 14. Ogbelu O. 15. Tougai M.
Substitutes
23. Agbre N. 12. Ajmani A. 17. Al Omrani A. 29. Bangoura A. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 10. Mbarek H. 26. Yasser T.	7. Abdelli Y. 29. Bouguerra O. 26. Debchi M. (G) 17. El Ayeb Z. 35. Koudhai M. 3. Smiri K. 27. Sowe K. 8. Tka H. 10. Yan Sasse

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Kada Z. ⚽, Ben Ali M. (A),
38', Mbarek H. 🟨,
40', Mhamedi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Jouini A. ↓, Ajmani A. ↑,
46', Ben Hassine F. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Mokwana E. ⚽, Azouni L. (A),
62', Konate A. ↓, Yan Sasse ↑,
62', Derbali M. ↓, Tka H. ↑,
65', 🟨,
66', Mbarek H. ↓, Bangoura A. ↑,
66', Mhamedi H. ↓, Yasser T. ↑,
76', Kada Z. ↓, Smiri K. ↑,
76', Ogbelu O. ↓, Sowe K. ↑,
78', Al Omrani A. 🟨,
78', Smiri K. 🟨,
83', Bangoura A. 🟨,
85', Traore A. ↓, Mbarek H. ↑,
87', Ben Hamida M. ↓, Koudhai M. ↑,
90', Mokwana E. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Sowe K. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 0.

Gafsa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espérance ST is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gafsa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Espérance ST have a series of home games.

In this match Espérance ST is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:12 (average 0.2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gafsa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
20.12.24	Bizertin - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Soliman - EGS Gafsa	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTW
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
22.12.24	Espérance ST - Club Africain	2:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.12.24	Espérance ST - Pyramids	2:0 ✺
06.12.24	Sagrada Esperança - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
01.12.24	Espérance ST - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.11.24	Espérance ST - Djoliba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.06.16	EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST	0:0
06.01.16	Espérance ST - EGS Gafsa	3:0
31.05.15	Espérance ST - EGS Gafsa	4:1
28.12.14	EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST	0:0
30.04.14	EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST	0:2
04.01.14	Espérance ST - EGS Gafsa	3:0

EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide