Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gafsa Olympic Stadium (Gafsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport, Watania 1


	EGS Gafsa		Gabès

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.94	2.85	4.3
	2.02	2.11	5.74
	2.05	2.64	4.52	Watch
	1.81	2.93	5.03
	1.94	2.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.22)	2.75 ↓ (3.12)	4.6 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EGS Gafsa
46.9%

Draw
33.2%

Gabès
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EGS Gafsa's performance.

Gabès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabès might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabès than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabès could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EGS Gafsa - Gabès Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Gafsa (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 14 - 77.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (5.15) (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (5.91) (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Gabès (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Gafsa (votes: 4 - 19%). Gabès (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 14 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeridi R. (G) 12. Ajmani A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 11. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 10. Mbarek H. 15. Mejri S. 20. Mhamedi H. (C)	22. Chouaya A. (G) 18. Ahoudo G. 6. Amor I. B. 12. Ben Ammar F. 11. El Beji N. 14. Jouini A. 19. Maatougui D. 25. Masasi A. 21. Moukouba D. 29. Naffati O. 34. Yaakoubi R.
Substitutes
17. Al Omrani A. 21. Barbati A. 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 30. Khedher N. 9. Mbarek H. 25. Traore A. 26. Yasser T.	7. Abdelkarim H. 23. Boulila A. 20. Camara M. 10. Fellah A. 3. Helali N. 8. Mansour H. 41. Selmi M. 27. Slimane F. B. 1. Taieb J. (G)
Coaches
Kasri S.	Jaraya T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Naffati O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', El Beji N. 🟨,
54', Naffati O. ↓, Selmi M. ↑,
56', Jouini A. 🟨,
61', Mhamedi H. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
61', Ajmani A. ↓, Barbati A. ↑,
64', Amor I. B. 🟨,
71', Jouini A. ↓, Helali N. ↑,
71', Amor I. B. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Selmi M. ⚽,
82', Jouini A. ↓, Mbarek H. ↑,
87', Moukouba D. ↓, Slimane F. B. ↑,
87', Masasi A. ↓, Boulila A. ↑,
89', Slimane F. B. 🟨,
90+1', Mbarek H. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Gafsa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gabès's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Gabès has had a series of home games.

Gafsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gafsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Gafsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.05.25	Étoile du Sahel - EGS Gafsa	1:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
27.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Soliman	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Bizertin	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Espérance ST - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWLWL
- AS Gabès
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.05.25	Gabès - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
26.04.25	Gabès - Zarzis	0:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
20.04.25	Ben Guerdane - Gabès	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gabès - Zarzis	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Gabès - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.01.25	Gabès - EGS Gafsa	0:0
12.05.15	EGS Gafsa - Gabès	3:0
24.12.14	Gabès - EGS Gafsa	1:2

EGS Gafsa - Gabès: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide