The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
EGS Gafsa 16.5%
Draw 24.5%
Étoile du Sahel 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
30.4%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.4%
29.4%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EGS Gafsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EGS Gafsa's form might have worsened.
Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Étoile du Sahel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EGS Gafsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Étoile du Sahel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gafsa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Étoile du Sahel will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Étoile du Sahel (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Jeridi R. (G) 12. Ajmani A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 11. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 10. Mbarek H. 20. Mhamedi H. 15. Slimani D.
16. Gazzeh R. (G) 28. Aouani R. 25. Ben Choug F. 4. Camara C. 17. Chamakhi Y. 9. Chawat F. 13. Chouchane M. 33. Dagdoug H. 6. Gbo C. 26. Ghedamsi S. 3. Naouali G.
Substitutes
17. Al Omrani A. 21. Barbati A. 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 30. Khedher N. 9. Mbarek H. 25. Traore A. 26. Yasser T.
8. Abid O. 19. Ben Ali H. 15. Boughattas Z. 10. Kante M. 7. Karoui W. 40. Khardani A. (G) 11. Sabeur Y. 21. Smichi N. 35. Souissi I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Camara C. 🟨,
14', Jouini A. (Pen),
34', Mejri S. 🟥,
35', 0 - 1, Naouali G. ⚽,
39', Chouchane M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Aouani R. ⚽, Ghedamsi S. (A),
58', Chouchane M. ↓, Karoui W. ↑,
63', Ajmani A. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
63', Ben Hassine F. ↓, Barbati A. ↑,
63', Mhamedi H. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Chawat F. ⚽, Ghedamsi S. (A),
76', Aouani R. ↓, Souissi I. ↑,
76', Ben Choug F. ↓, Abid O. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Al Omrani A. ⚽,
89', Chamakhi Y. ↓, Ben Ali H. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, Mbarek H. (Pen),
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 0.
Recent matches Gafsa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Étoile du Sahel is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Gafsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Étoile du Sahel will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Gafsa won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Gafsa won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).
Watch
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Jeridi R. (G) 
Ben Choug F. 
Camara C. 
Gbo C. 
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