Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Olympique de Sousse (Sousse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Watania 1


	Étoile du Sahel		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.23	5	11
	1.26	4.7	10
	1.18	5.32	12.47
	1.24	5.09	11.91	Watch
	1.26	4.9	9.8
	1.26	4.7	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.22)	4.95 ↓ (4.97)	10.86 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile du Sahel
73.3%

Draw
18.3%

EGS Gafsa
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Étoile du Sahel - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Gafsa (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gafsa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Khardani A. (G) 25. Ben Choug F. 4. Camara C. 17. Chamakhi Y. . Chawat F. 33. Dagdoug H. 6. Gbo C. 26. Ghedamsi S. 7. Karoui W. 3. Naouali G. 21. Smichi N.	14. Jeridi R. (G) 12. Ajmani A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 11. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 10. Mbarek H. 15. Mejri S. 20. Mhamedi H. (C)
Substitutes
28. Aouani R. 29. Ben Amor M. 15. Boughattas Z. 13. Chouchane M. 16. Gazzeh R. (G) 27. Jebali M. 10. Kante M. 11. Sabeur Y. 35. Souissi I.	17. Al Omrani A. 21. Barbati A. 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 30. Khedher N. 9. Mbarek H. 25. Traore A. 26. Yasser T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Smichi N. ↓, Aouani R. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Chaouat F. ⚽, Ghedamsi S. (A),
66', Mhamedi H. ↓, Al Omrani A. ↑,
66', Mejri S. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
66', Ajmani A. ↓, Chokri A. ↑,
77', Chamakhi Y. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
79', Mbarek H. ↓, Barbati A. ↑,
85', Karoui W. ↓, Chouchane M. ↑,
85', Ben Choug F. ↓, Jebali M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Ben Hassine F. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 4.

Étoile du Sahel has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gafsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Étoile du Sahel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Étoile du Sahel has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gafsa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Étoile du Sahel is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Cup
30.04.25	JS Kairouan - Étoile du Sahel	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Étoile du Sahel	1:4 ✺
12.04.25	Étoile du Sahel - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Gabès - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Cup
27.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Soliman	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Bizertin	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Espérance ST - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
13.03.25	EGS Gafsa - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.04.25	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	2:3
29.12.24	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	1:1
11.11.23	Étoile du Sahel - EGS Gafsa	2:1
03.09.23	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	0:3
09.06.16	Étoile du Sahel - EGS Gafsa	2:1
03.01.16	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	1:1
04.03.15	Étoile du Sahel - EGS Gafsa	0:0

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