Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade 8 Mai 1945 (Sétif) 🌤️ ...


	ES Sétif		Chelghoum

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.1	9
	1.32	4.4	8
	1.33	4.4	7.8
	1.38	4.55	8.87
	1.33	4.2	9
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.35	4.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	4.37 ↓ (4.43)	8.34 ↑ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ES Sétif
68.1%

Draw
20.9%

Chelghoum
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.7%

20.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

12.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ES Sétif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chelghoum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ES Sétif that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelghoum than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelghoum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

ES Sétif - Chelghoum Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. ES Sétif will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Chelghoum will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ES Sétif: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches ES Sétif is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelghoum has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match ES Sétif is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches ES Sétif won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams ES Sétif won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
25.10.22	ES Sétif - Belouizdad	1:1 ✺
21.10.22	Kabylie - ES Sétif	2:3 ✺
13.10.22	ES Sétif - Khenchela	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	ES Sétif - Constantine	0:0 ✺
24.09.22	ASO Chlef - ES Sétif	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLTL
- HB Chelghoum Laïd
Algerian Ligue 1
22.10.22	Chelghoum - Oran	1:2 ✺
14.10.22	Paradou - Chelghoum	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	El Bayadh - Chelghoum	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Chelghoum - Kabylie	0:2 ✺
24.09.22	Khenchela - Chelghoum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
22.03.22	Chelghoum - ES Sétif	1:0
02.11.21	ES Sétif - Chelghoum	1:0
Algerian Cup
04.01.20	Chelghoum - ES Sétif	1:5

ES Sétif - Chelghoum