Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)


	Stranraer		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.75	1.83
	3.30	3.80	1.80
	3.30	4.20	1.73
	3.49	3.90	1.91
	3.56	4.13	1.83	Watch
	3.45	3.80	1.81
	3.41	3.87	1.89
	3.30	3.75	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	3.9 ↑ (3.77)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stranraer
26.8%

Draw
23.3%

East Kilbride
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

23.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.4%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Stranraer - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Quigg A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, McGuffie C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Robertson M. ⚽, Elliott C. (A),
37', 2 - 2, McManus D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 2, Dunne E. ⚽, Dolan J. (A),
67', 3 - 3, McKenzie C. ⚽,
69', 4 - 3, Dunne E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 3.

In recent outings, Stranraer has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

East Kilbride is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, East Kilbride has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

East Kilbride is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Stranraer has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:12 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stranraer against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	East Kilbride	5	3	1	1	17:12	5	10
27	Stranraer	5	2	0	3	13:12	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

East Kilbride - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 49.92%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.09.26	Berwick Rangers - Stranraer	3:2 ✺
Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Elgin City - Stranraer	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Stranraer - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	0:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
01.09.26	Stranraer - Celtic B	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.09.26	East Kilbride - Celtic B	3:3 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Alloa Athletic - East Kilbride	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	East Kilbride - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	East Kilbride - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
Scottish League One
05.09.26	East Kilbride - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
14.03.26	Stranraer - East Kilbride	2:1
24.01.26	East Kilbride - Stranraer	0:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.12.25	East Kilbride - Stranraer	1:4
Scottish League Two
15.11.25	Stranraer - East Kilbride	1:3
16.08.25	East Kilbride - Stranraer	3:1
Scottish Highland League
18.05.24	Stranraer - East Kilbride	3:1 ET
11.05.24	East Kilbride - Stranraer	2:2

Upcoming Matches