Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 29

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	1.8	3.4	3.85
	1.79	3.7	3.7
	1.8	3.74	3.92
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.76	3.72	3.9
	1.8	3.7	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	3.82 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
50.9%

Draw
25.3%

Hungerford Town
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 4.

Eastbourne is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hungerford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Eastbourne is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
14.01.23	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
01.01.23	Eastbourne Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3 ✺
26.12.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Eastbourne Borough - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWL
- Hungerford Town
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Hungerford Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English National League South
07.01.23	Hungerford Town - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.23	Farnborough - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Hungerford Town - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Heybridge Swifts - Hungerford Town	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.08.22	Hungerford Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
19.03.22	Hungerford Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:3
15.01.22	Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town	5:2
06.02.21	Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town	3:2
16.11.19	Hungerford Town - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
16.03.19	Hungerford Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
10.11.18	Eastbourne Borough - Hungerford Town	3:1

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