Match Info

National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Eastbourne Borough		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.25	1.55
	4.83	4.52	1.56	Watch
	4.4	4	1.6
	4.48	4.14	1.66
	4.75	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.65)	4.28 ↑ (3.88)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
19.9%

Draw
21.6%

Worthing
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

23.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

22.9%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastbourne Borough's form might have worsened.

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Eastbourne Borough - Worthing Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Eastbourne will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Worthing will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Worthing: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastbourne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Worthing (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Worthing (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastbourne (votes: 1 - 25%). Worthing (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Spong J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
88', 0 - 2, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 3, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Worthing is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastbourne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.4:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
20.12.25	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	6:0 ✺
22.11.25	Torquay United - Eastbourne Borough	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
20.12.25	Worthing - Farnborough	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gloucester City - Worthing	4:3 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Worthing - Hornchurch	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Torquay United - Worthing	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.04.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	1:1
01.01.25	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	0:0
01.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:4
26.12.23	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	3:0
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:1
English National League South
14.01.23	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:2
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	1:2

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