The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eastern District 39.7%
Draw 25.4%
Eastern AA 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.9%
26.5%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
25.2%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastern District's performance.
Eastern AA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastern AA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastern District that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastern AA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Eastern District - Eastern AA Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Paulo Cesar (G) 6. Almazan D. 4. Bruno Bianconi 15. Bruno Luiz 5. Helio (C) 16. Kwok T. B. 13. Li Ngai-Hoi 11. Luizinho 7. Michel Renner 8. Scott C. 27. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan
25. Ko C. W. (G) 20. Alonso C. 5. Cova A. 11. Felipe Sa 27. Gondra M. K. 32. Lam H. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 19. Lorenzo N. 9. Okubo Y. 65. Wong Fred Yang
Substitutes
54. Chan Yin-Hei 32. Korani K. 17. Leo 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 20. McMillan M. 18. Pirie McArthur M. A. 10. Salinas A. 3. Sung K. 44. Wong C. 72. Yoong K. 22. Yuen C. H.
88. Cheung M. H. 66. Gao M. 33. Gao M. H. 6. Law Chun-Ting 23. Lee Lok-Him 22. Leung Kwun-Chung 14. Loong T. 4. Parada Gil A. 1. Yapp H. (G) 42. Yeung T. 26. Yuen Ho-Chun (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Michel Renner ⚽,
28', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
44', Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lorenzo N. ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Okubo Y. ⚽,
55', Bruno Bianconi 🟨,
56', Wong Fred Yang 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Scott C. ⚽,
70', Parada Gil A. 🟨,
70', Leung C. ↓, Parada Gil A. ↑,
77', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
84', Yeung Cheuk-Kwan ↓, Yoong K. ↑,
84', Luizinho ↓, Salinas A. ↑,
85', Wong Fred Yang ↓, Loong T. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Lee Lok-Him ⚽,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th and 11th in the Relegation).
Eastern District is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Eastern AA has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Eastern AA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Eastern District has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Eastern District has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 0.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Eastern District against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Hong Kong
Watch
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Paulo Cesar (G) 
Almazan D. 
Bruno Bianconi 
Scott C. 
Cova A. 
Lorenzo N. 
Okubo Y. 
McMillan M. 
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