Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 19

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Eastern Lions		Melbourne City Youth

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.6	1.5
	4.41	5.09	1.52
				Watch
	4.6	4.5	1.5
	4.08	4.97	1.61
	6.56	5.45	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↓ (6.24)	4.92 ↓ (5.5)	1.49 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Lions
19.2%

Draw
18.7%

Melbourne City Youth
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

16.4%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

15.9%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastern Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

Recent form of Eastern Lions has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Melbourne City Youth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eastern Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne City Youth is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Eastern Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Eastern Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Lions SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
14.06.25	Eastern Lions - Moreland City	6:2 ✺
06.06.25	Northcote City - Eastern Lions	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Manningham United - Eastern Lions	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Eastern Lions - Brunswick City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Melbourne City Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
14.06.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne City Youth	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne City Youth	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Melbourne City Youth - Manningham United	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Melbourne City Youth - Brunswick City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
16.03.25	Melbourne City Youth - Eastern Lions	3:1
10.08.24	Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth	0:4
04.05.24	Melbourne City Youth - Eastern Lions	3:1

Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide