Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 17

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Eastern Lions

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.6	3.95	4.25
	1.79	4.13	3.89
	1.6	4.28	4.34	Watch
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.59	4.1	4.45
	1.6	3.95	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)	4.06 ↑ (4)	4.24 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
56.1%

Draw
22.5%

Eastern Lions
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Eastern Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northcote City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Northcote City - Eastern Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Northcote City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Eastern Lions will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Northcote City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Eastern Lions (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Northcote City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Eastern Lions (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Northcote City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Northcote City is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
24.05.25	Northcote City - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Northcote City	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Manningham United - Northcote City	2:2 ✺
25.04.25	Northcote City - Brunswick City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTW
- Eastern Lions SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
30.05.25	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Manningham United - Eastern Lions	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Eastern Lions - Brunswick City	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Eastern Lions - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
05.05.25	Bulleen Lions - Eastern Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
28.02.25	Eastern Lions - Northcote City	1:1
21.06.24	Northcote City - Eastern Lions	2:0

Northcote City - Eastern Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide