Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Queensland Premier League - Round 18

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday


	Eastern Suburbs		Logan Lightning

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	2.7
	2.11	4.05	2.75
	2.06	4.12	2.78	Watch
	1.83	4	3
	2.05	4	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.9)	3.99 ↑ (3.9)	2.8 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Suburbs
44.9%

Draw
22.7%

Logan Lightning
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

23.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

22.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern Suburbs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Logan Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastern Suburbs - Logan Lightning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastern Suburbs won 1.

Eastern Suburbs in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Logan Lightning is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Eastern Suburbs have a series of home games.

Eastern Suburbs will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Eastern Suburbs won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastern Suburbs won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Suburbs
Australian Queensland Premier League
06.07.24	Mitchelton - Eastern Suburbs	0:6 ✺
22.06.24	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton City Excelsior U21	7:1 ✺
15.06.24	Eastern Suburbs - Ipswich FC	1:1 ✺
07.06.24	Eastern Suburbs - Brisbane Strikers	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Eastern Suburbs - Southside Eagles	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWW
- Logan Lightning
Australian Queensland Premier League
05.07.24	Logan Lightning - Capalaba	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Logan Lightning - Broadbeach United	6:0 ✺
23.06.24	South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	St. George Willawong - Logan Lightning	3:1 ✺
11.06.24	Capalaba - Logan Lightning	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
14.04.24	Logan Lightning - Eastern Suburbs	2:0
Australian NPL Queensland
17.06.22	Eastern Suburbs - Logan Lightning	2:2
16.04.22	Logan Lightning - Eastern Suburbs	2:3
08.07.21	Eastern Suburbs - Logan Lightning	1:2
13.03.21	Logan Lightning - Eastern Suburbs	2:0
Australian Brisbane Premier League
20.05.17	Eastern Suburbs - Logan Lightning	6:0
18.02.17	Logan Lightning - Eastern Suburbs	1:1

Eastern Suburbs - Logan Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide