Match Info

National League South - Round 3

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.35	2.98
	2.13	3.49	3.21
	2.38	3.07	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.17	3.48	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.34 ↓ (3.39)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
41.9%

Draw
27.7%

Chelmsford City
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Coley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4.

In recent matches, Ebbsfleet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelmsford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ebbsfleet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
16.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	St Albans City - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ebbsfleet United - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLT
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
16.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chelmsford City - Horsham	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Witham Town - Chelmsford City	0:3 ✺
21.07.25	Hashtag United - Chelmsford City	1:4 ✺
19.07.25	Chelmsford City - Brackley Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.02.23	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
17.01.23	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:0
07.05.22	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:1
30.08.21	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	0:0
13.05.17	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:1
21.01.17	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	2:0
05.09.16	Chelmsford City - Ebbsfleet United	2:1

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