Match Info

World Championship - Round 3

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Penso T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	00:30	Ariana
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, ZAP
Albania	22:00	Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Andorra	22:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	21:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Flow Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1
Australia	06:00	SBS On Demand
Austria	22:00	ORF 1, ORF On
Azerbaijan	00:00	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	02:00	Toffee Live, T Sports
Belarus	23:00	Sport TV
Belgium	22:00	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF La Une, Sporza, Sporza, VRT 1
Bolivia	16:00	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Bosnia And Herzegovina	22:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	23:00	BNT 1
Canada	16:00	RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN+
Chile	16:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	Migu
Colombia	15:00	Caracol TV, Ditu, DSports, RCN Television
Costa Rica	14:00	TDMAX, Teletica 7, Teletica
Croatia	22:00	HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	16:00	Tele Rebelde
Czech Republic	22:00	Nova Action, Oneplay
Denmark	22:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Dr Congo	—	RTNC
Ecuador	15:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El Salvador	14:00	Tigo Sports
Estonia	23:00	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3, TV3 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Faroe Islands	21:00	KVF, Televarp
Fiji	08:00	FBC Sports
Finland	23:00	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, M6, Molotov TV
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	22:00	ARD, Das Erste, Magenta Sport
Greece	23:00	ERT 2
Guatemala	14:00	Chapin, TeleOnce, Tigo Sports
Guinea	20:00	RTG
Honduras	14:00	Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong Kong	04:00	Now Player
Hungary	22:00	M4 Sport
Iceland	20:00	RUV
India	01:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Ireland	21:00	RTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
Israel	23:00	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	22:00	DAZN Italia, RAI 1, RaiPlay
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:00	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	22:00	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	KTRK Sports
Latvia	23:00	TV6
Lithuania	23:00	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Malaysia	04:00	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	22:00	TVM+
Mexico	14:00	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
Moldova	23:00	Jurnal TV
Montenegro	22:00	TVCG 1
Netherlands	22:00	NPO 3, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New Zealand	08:00	TVNZ+
Nicaragua	14:00	Tigo Sports
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North Macedonia	22:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	22:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	15:00	Medcom GO, RPC, Tigo Sports
Paraguay	16:00	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	15:00	America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	04:00	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	22:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app
Portugal	21:00	SIC, Sport TV1
Romania	23:00	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	22:00	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	04:00	meWATCH, Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	22:00	JOJ Play, STVR Sport
Slovenia	22:00	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	JTBC, KBS 2
Spain	22:00	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Suriname	17:00	STVS
Sweden	22:00	Discovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play
Switzerland	22:00	M6, M6, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	01:00	Varzish Sport
Turkey	23:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	23:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	21:00	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	17:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	16:00	FOX Network, FOX One, FOX Sports 1, Futbol de Primera Radio, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TUDN
Uzbekistan	01:00	Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	03:00	TV 360, VTV 3, VTV Go
Zambia	22:00	Sun Sports


	Ecuador		Germany

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.57
	4.75	4.40	1.61
	4.95	4.65	1.62
	5.15	4.85	1.61
	4.93	5.25	1.57	Watch
	5	4.8	1.59
	5.04	4.78	1.65	Watch
	4.9	4.3	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↓ (4.98)	4.72 ↑ (3.79)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador
19.5%

Draw
20.4%

Germany
60.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.3%

25.3%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	13%	69.4%

Ecuador - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Ecuador will win (votes: 19 - 17.9%). Germany will win (votes: 75 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 62.1% – 79.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Germany (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ecuador (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ecuador (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Germany (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.37) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Ecuador (4.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 9 - 45%). Germany (votes: 9 - 45%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 3. Hincapie P. Arsenal 9. Yeboah J. Venezia 23. Caicedo M. (C) Chelsea 15. Vite P. UNAM Pumas 20. Angulo N. Sunderland 19. Plata G. Flamengo RJ 13. Valencia E. Pachuca	1. Neuer M. (G) Bayern Munich 6. Kimmich J. (C) Bayern Munich 4. Tah J. Bayern Munich 2. Rudiger A. Real Madrid 22. Raum D. RB Leipzig 23. Nmecha F. Dortmund 5. Pavlovic A. Bayern Munich 19. Sane L. Galatasaray 10. Musiala J. Bayern Munich 17. Wirtz F. Liverpool 7. Havertz K. Arsenal
Substitutes
5. Alcivar J. Independiente del Valle 24. Arevalo J. VfB Stuttgart 16. Caicedo J. Huracan 18. Castillo D. Midtjylland 7. Estupinan P. AC Milan 26. Medina Y. Genk 14. Minda A. Atletico-MG 10. Paez K. River Plate 25. Porozo J. Club Tijuana 17. Preciado A. Atletico-MG 12. Ramirez M. (G) Kifisia 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 2. Torres F. Internacional 8. Valencia A. Antwerp 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito	20. Amiri N. Mainz 3. Anton W. Dortmund 12. Baumann O. (G) Hoffenheim 14. Beier M. Dortmund 8. Goretzka L. Bayern Munich 13. Gross P. Brighton 9. Leweling J. VfB Stuttgart 21. Nubel A. (G) VfB Stuttgart 25. Ouedraogo A. RB Leipzig 16. Stiller A. VfB Stuttgart 24. Thiaw M. Newcastle Utd 26. Undav D. VfB Stuttgart 11. Woltemade N. Newcastle Utd
Coaches
Beccacece S.	Nagelsmann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Sane L. ⚽, Wirtz F. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Angulo N. ⚽, Vite P. (A),
43', Hincapie P. 🟨,
44', Pavlovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pavlovic A. ↓, Stiller A. ↑,
47', (Penalty overturned),
50', Franco A. 🟨,
60', Kimmich J. ↓, Thiaw M. ↑,
60', Havertz K. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
64', Valencia E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
64', Franco A. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
64', Nmecha F. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
71', Hincapie P. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,
73', Wirtz F. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Plata G. ⚽, Rodriguez K. (A),
85', Angulo N. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
85', Yeboah J. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
89', Plata G. 🟨,

Preview

Ecuador is ranked FIFA: 23. Germany is ranked FIFA: 10.

In this match, Germany is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Germany: Brown N. (Muscle Injury) Karl L. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ecuador won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

South America

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ecuador	18	8	8	2	14:5	9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
20.06.26	Ecuador - Curaçao	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Ivory Coast - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Ecuador - Guatemala	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Ecuador - Saudi Arabia	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Netherlands - Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWT
- Germany
FIFA World Cup
20.06.26	Germany - Ivory Coast	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Germany - Curaçao	7:1 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	USA - Germany	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Germany - Finland	4:0 ✺
30.03.26	Germany - Ghana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
29.05.13	Germany - Ecuador	4:2

Ecuador - Germany