The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ecuador 56.3%
Draw 25%
Panama 18.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.8%
27.6%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ecuador's performance.
Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
6.2%
0%
Ecuador - Panama Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Ecuador (1.67) (votes: 89%) โญ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Ecuador will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ecuador will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Valle G. (G)LDU Quito 17. Preciado A. Atletico-MG 24. Realpe L. Famalicao 2. Torres F. (C)Internacional 3. Caicedo F. Inter Miami 8. Valencia A. Flamengo RJ 5. Alcivar J. Independiente del Valle 23. Mercado J. Sparta Prague 16. Sarmiento J. Middlesbrough 14. Minda A. Atletico-MG 9. Caicedo J. Huracan
12. Roberts E. (G)Estudiantes Merida 23. Murillo M. (C)Besiktas 14. Harvey C. Minnesota United 4. Krug M. Torremolinos 2. Blackman C. Slovan Bratislava 6. Martinez C. Slovan Bratislava 5. Griffith V. Emelec 15. Gutierrez J. Universitario de Deportes 8. Carrasquilla A. UNAM Pumas 7. Rodriguez J. Juarez 18. Vergara J. Gent
Substitutes
13. Angulo J. Sunderland 20. Angulo N. Sunderland 11. Arroyo K. Cruzeiro 18. Castillo D. Midtjylland 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 1. Galindez H. (G)Huracan 19. Hurtado A. Bragantino 6. Pacho W. PSG 25. Porozo J. Club Tijuana 12. Ramirez M. (G)Kifisia 15. Vite P. UNAM Pumas 10. Yeboah J. Venezia
24. Anderson E. Baltika 1. De Leon M. (G)Sporting San Miguelito 17. Fajardo J. U. Catolica 20. Herbert G. Kryvbas 21. Jimenez M. New York Red Bulls 25. Jones J. Kryvbas 11. Londono A. U. Catolica 27. Modelo J. Sheriff Tiraspol 22. Mosquera O. (G)Al Fayha 10. Mosquera R. New York Red Bulls 26. Murillo D. Plaza Amador 13. Ramos J. Academia Puerto Cabello 9. Rodriguez T. Barcelona SC 19. Valencia O. New York Red Bulls
Coaches
Gallardo M.
Christiansen T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Vergara J. ⚽,
44', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alcivar J. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
46', Caicedo J. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
46', Mercado J. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
46', Minda A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
46', Vergara J. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
55', Caicedo F. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Valencia A. (A),
64', Realpe L. ↓, Pacho W. ↑,
65', Preciado A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
70', Krug M. 🟨,
70', Sarmiento J. ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
76', Martinez C. ↓, Herbert G. ↑,
76', Gutierrez J. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
81', Harvey C. 🟨,
86', Rodriguez J. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
87', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
89', Blackman C. 🟨,
90+5', Griffith V. 🟨,
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Murillo M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Vite P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Harvey C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Valencia A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Griffith V. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yeboah J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rodriguez T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Angulo N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Mosquera R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Arroyo K. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Blackman C. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Pacho W. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Herbert G. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Caicedo F. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Murillo D. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Angulo J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Ecuador is ranked FIFA: 25., and Panama is ranked FIFA: 44..
Ecuador carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ecuador has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 2.3:0.7 goals per game).