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Current Win Probability
Ecuador 38.8%
Draw 31.1%
Senegal 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
29.7%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.6%
31.2%
29.2%
Ecuador - Senegal Predictions
Users Predictions:
192 users predict this event. Ecuador will win (votes: 76 - 39.6%). Senegal will win (votes: 56 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 60 - 31.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ecuador: 32.7% – 46.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ecuador has a chance of 1st place (18%), has a good chance of 2nd place (53%), has a good chance of round of 16 (71%), has a chance of quarter-finals (32%), has a small chance of semi-finals (13%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win world cup (2%).
Senegal has a small chance of 1st place (7%), has a chance of 2nd place (23%), has a chance of round of 16 (30%), has a small chance of quarter-finals (13%), has a very small chance of semi-finals (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win world cup (<1%).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.