The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ecuador W 75.6%
Draw 16.2%
Peru W 8.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.1%
20%
11.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ecuador W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ecuador W's performance.
Peru W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Ecuador W - Peru W Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Suarez L. (G) 13. Charcopa N. 2. Rodriguez M. Gremio 4. Cuadra J. Barcelona SC 15. Baquerizo M. (C)Granada CF 8. Burgos Cedeno E. E. 14. Pico F. 20. Guerra M. 18. Flores R. 17. Litardo K. Independiente del Valle 9. Bolanos V. Dep. Cuenca
21. Shalit M. (G)Hapoel Jerusalem 17. Cagnina G. 14. Leon M. (C)Cruz Azul 2. Chamochumbi L. 16. Tacilla Y. 19. Thorisson A. Trelleborg 10. Arevalo S. Atletico San Luis 11. Espejo M. 23. Bilcape R. 22. Garcia A. Ferencvaros 3. Molina T. A. Lima
Substitutes
19. Arboleda D. AC Milan 7. Arias E. 21. Barahona M. 6. Caicedo J. Independiente del Valle 5. Cedeno S. Atl. Nacional 10. Espinales J. Palmeiras 1. Mendoza K. (G)Santos Laguna 12. Moran A. (G)Cerro Porteno 16. Pianda I. 23. Rodriguez L. 3. Zambrano A. Atl. Nacional
1. Alfaro Sinobad S. (G)Universitario de Deportes 20. Azabache A. 15. Campoverde L. 7. Cox C. 8. Dominguez C. 13. Gutierrez O. 4. Meier B. 6. Olano K. 9. Porras S. Necaxa 12. Sanchez M. (G)Dep. Cali 18. Sanllehi A. 5. Solari A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Arevalo S. 🟨,
35', Bolanos V. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Pico F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Flores R. ↓, Flores K. ↑,
46', Pico F. ↓, Cedeno S. ↑,
46', Guerra M. ↓, Arias E. ↑,
61', Bilcape R. ↓, Campoverde L. ↑,
62', Arevalo S. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
64', Campoverde L. 🟨,
67', Litardo K. ↓, Arboleda D. ↑,
76', Leon M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Bolanos V. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Molina T. ↓, Cox C. ↑,
79', Thorisson A. ↓, Olano K. ↑,
83', Espejo M. ↓, Azabache A. ↑,
88', Burgos Cedeno E. E. ↓, Espinales J. ↑,
90+5', Tacilla Y. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 4.
Ecuador may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ecuador is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.1:0.1).