Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank Sports Centre (Edinburgh)


	Edinburgh City		Hearts B

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.39	4.4	6
	1.37	4.85	6.9
	1.32	5.01	8.46
	1.39	4.50	7.15	Watch
	1.37	5.01	7.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)	4.71 ↑ (4.5)	7.04 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
67.5%

Draw
19.5%

Hearts B
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

19.9%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

18.7%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hearts B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edinburgh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Edinburgh City - Hearts B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Edinburgh City (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Edinburgh City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Mahon R. ⚽, Lawson I. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Mahon R. ⚽, Barrett B. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Lawson I. ⚽,
38', 4 - 0, Stokes J. ⚽, Mahon R. (A),
41', 4 - 1, Mcluckie B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 4 - 2, Robb C. (Pen),

Preview

Edinburgh City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hearts B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Edinburgh City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Edinburgh City is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Edinburgh City will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Edinburgh City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Edinburgh City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
30.08.25	Dumbarton - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.08.25	Hamilton Academical - Edinburgh City	2:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
23.08.25	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Edinburgh City - Annan Athletic	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.08.25	Edinburgh City - Kilmarnock 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWTW
- Hearts B
Scottish Lowland League
02.09.25	Berwick Rangers - Hearts B	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Hearts B - Caledonian Braves	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Dumbarton - Hearts B	1:0 ✺
Scottish Lowland League
23.08.25	Broxburn Athletic - Hearts B	3:3 ✺
19.08.25	Hearts B - Gala Fairydean	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
17.08.21	Edinburgh City - Hearts B	0:1

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