The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elgin City 54.3%
Draw 23.3%
Edinburgh City 22.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
25.1%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
24.4%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elgin City's performance.
Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Elgin City - Edinburgh City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 2. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 23. Grant M. 10. Gallagher M. 77. Scullion L. 40. McHardy D. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 9. Hester K. 22. MacIver J.
22. Dowie S. (G) 5. Gardiner L. 23. McGregor J. (C) 21. Rowe F. 2. McGinn C. 10. Jarvis J. 11. Lawson I. 6. Leitch J. 18. Aiken M. 7. Walker L. 20. North T.
Substitutes
12. Cairns O. 19. Camara J. 11. Colloty O. 18. Cummings A. 15. Jamieson L. 24. Mackay L. 28. Mckay C. 27. Morrison J. (G) 17. Willox K.
17. Bunker C. 24. Foster K. 25. Glasgow E. 27. Law C. (G) 4. Pitt C. 1. Weir M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Dingwall R. 🟨,
41', Gardiner L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gardiner L. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
52', Aiken M. 🟨,
64', Scullion L. ↓, Colloty O. ↑,
64', McHardy D. ↓, Cairns O. ↑,
74', Gallagher M. 🟨,
78', Leitch J. ↓, Foster K. ↑,
80', Colloty O. 🟨,
81', Jarvis J. ↓, Bunker C. ↑,
81', Dingwall R. ↓, Mackay L. ↑,
90', Grant M. ↓, Willox K. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 4.
Elgin is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Edinburgh City has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Elgin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Elgin has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:27 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Elgin against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
United Kingdom
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Ritchie T. (G) 
Camara J. 
Colloty O. 
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