Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Egersund		Notodden

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	7
	1.33	5.5	6.5	Watch
	1.27	5.9	8.85
	1.3	4.75	6.5
	1.27	5.5	7.6
	1.32	5.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.31 ↑ (5)	7.18 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
70.1%

Draw
17.2%

Notodden
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

17.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Egersund - Notodden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skjaerstein A. (G) 23. Hoiseth M. 9. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 3. Maeland B. 13. Markmanrud L. 10. Michalsen S. R. 2. Midtskogen A. 77. Ronn Madsen M. N. 8. Sleveland C. T. (C) 14. Staalesen J. 6. Strangstad S.	1. Raniowski M. (G) 14. Berntsen A. 6. Bjornstad T. 7. Eggen K. (C) 4. Hammerli J. 3. Husebo W. S. 8. Jonassen J. 22. Jorgensen S. 17. Nordbo S. 2. Ronning-Olsen A. 21. Tjomsland A.
Substitutes
11. Bergersen A. 15. Dvergsdal T. 19. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem F. 21. Hafstad T. 18. Jorgensen J. 22. Urdal Kapstad H. (G) 20. Voilas J. 12. Williams R.	25. Arsvoll E. I. 12. Bergesen J. 10. Hansen S. 5. Riise N. 16. Skjold A. W. 20. Ulsnes J.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Egersund won 2.

Egersund is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Notodden is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Egersund could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Egersund is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Egersund to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Egersund won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Egersund won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
01.10.23	Træff - Egersund	1:5 ✺
24.09.23	Egersund - Grorud	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Flekkerøy - Egersund	0:1 ✺
04.09.23	Egersund - Aalesunds 2	5:1 ✺
26.08.23	Arendal - Egersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWT
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
30.09.23	Notodden - Kjelsås	0:1 ✺
25.09.23	Vålerenga 2 - Notodden	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Notodden - Brattvåg	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Fram Larvik - Notodden	3:2 ✺
26.08.23	Grorud - Notodden	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.06.23	Notodden - Egersund	2:0
01.10.22	Notodden - Egersund	3:2
06.06.22	Egersund - Notodden	2:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
06.11.21	Egersund - Notodden	1:3
26.06.21	Notodden - Egersund	2:3
18.07.20	Egersund - Notodden	3:0
05.08.17	Egersund - Notodden	0:1

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