Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 1

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: B&G Parken (Egersund)

Referee: Al Fahad A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Egersund		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.25	6.25
	1.6	4	4.6
	1.38	5.15	6.5	Watch
	1.42	5.03	7.45
	1.42	4.91	6.48	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.41	5.23	5.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.59)	4.88 ↑ (4.16)	6.25 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
65.8%

Draw
19.2%

Raufoss
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egersund's performance.

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Egersund - Raufoss Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Egersund (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Raufoss (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Egersund will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Egersund (votes: 2 - 50%). Raufoss (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 21. Eggen K. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 17. Westerlund S. 8. Sleveland C. 22. Tadesse H. 27. Vatne S. 7. Tornvig N. 9. Kapskarmo O. 16. Ekeland J.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 2. Sjol J. 11. Fremstad N. 4. Gjelsvik S. 3. Asvestad E. 23. Selnaes J. S. 13. Achinioti-Jonsson A. 8. Naustdal T. 22. Da Silva F. F. 9. Rogulj A. 10. Aanesland M.
Substitutes
12. Bergene S. (G) 28. Chrupalla P. 91. Davis S. 15. Diallo I. 25. Gregersen J. 20. Hokstad P. 18. Hovland P. 2. Kleppa H. 6. Saetherbo K.	30. Dalen Korsaksel J. 15. de Ornelas de Conno D. 20. Elmi S. 18. Engebakken T. 25. Engebakken T. E. 16. Larsen M. 12. Synstelien D. M. G. (G)
Coaches
Eide E.	Wehrman K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Tornvig N. ⚽, Ekeland J. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Vatne S. ⚽, Tornvig N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Da Silva F. F. ⚽, Asvestad E. (A),
68', Ekeland J. ↓, Kleppa H. ↑,
85', Tornvig N. ↓, Hovland P. ↑,
90+1', Vatne S. ↓, Gregersen J. ↑,

Preview

Egersund has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Raufoss is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Raufoss has had a series of home games.

In this match, Egersund is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Egersund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26:61	-35	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Egersund - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Egersund - Bryne	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Strømmen - Egersund	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Egersund - Bryne	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Odd - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Raufoss - Hødd	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Ranheim - Raufoss	5:1 ✺
13.04.26	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Raufoss - Mjøndalen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.10.25	Egersund - Raufoss	4:0
28.04.25	Raufoss - Egersund	0:1
19.08.24	Raufoss - Egersund	4:1
01.06.24	Egersund - Raufoss	1:2

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