Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 5

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Kongsvinger		Egersund

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3
	2.1	3.75	3	Watch
	2.13	3.91	3.17
	2.04	4.01	3.09	Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.14	3.66	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.8)	3.73 ↓ (4.31)	3.04 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
44.5%

Draw
24.9%

Egersund
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

21.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

22.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kongsvinger's form might have worsened.

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kongsvinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Egersund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Kongsvinger - Egersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Egersund will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kongsvinger: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 11. Job D.	1. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 2. Kleppa H. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 17. Westerlund S. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 22. Tadesse H. 14. Lynum J. 27. Vatne S. 21. Eggen K. 9. Kapskarmo O.
Substitutes
1. Da Rocha W. (G) 29. Fjellman P. 18. Flores M. 6. Hansen A. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 24. Overby A. 7. Pajic E. 16. Udnaes P.	12. Bergene S. (G) 28. Chrupalla P. 91. Davis S. 16. Ekeland J. 25. Gregersen J. 20. Hokstad P. 18. Hovland P. 6. Saetherbo K. 7. Tornvig N.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Johansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Mbow M. 🟨,
21', Kleppa H. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Dybevik A. ⚽, Langrekken L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Kleppa H. ↓, Tornvig N. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Langrekken L. ⚽,
66', Vatne S. ↓, Ekeland J. ↑,
66', Sande M. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
67', Tadesse H. ↓, Saetherbo K. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Jonsson I. ⚽, Westerlund S. (A),
69', Langrekken L. 🟨,
78', Fors V. 🟨,
84', Christiansen R. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
84', Langrekken L. ↓, Lysell V. ↑,
85', Lynum J. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,
89', Job D. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
90+2', Kapskarmo O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 4.

Kongsvinger is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Egersund is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kongsvinger will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Kongsvinger: 29.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kongsvinger	24	16	5	3	70:35	35	53
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29

Last Results with these Odds

Kongsvinger - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.04.26	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kongsvinger - Moss	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	1:3 ✺
07.04.26	Kongsvinger - Bryne	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.03.26	Hammarby - Kongsvinger	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWWT
- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.04.26	Egersund - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Egersund - Bryne	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Strømmen - Egersund	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Egersund - Bryne	4:3 ✺
13.03.26	Stabæk - Egersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1
21.06.25	Egersund - Kongsvinger	2:2
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.11.24	Egersund - Kongsvinger	1:2
06.10.24	Egersund - Kongsvinger	0:1
15.04.24	Kongsvinger - Egersund	3:3

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